Predicting how the 2017 Patriots offense will distribute the ball

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Predicting how the 2017 Patriots offense will distribute the ball Published: Aug 22, 2017 at 03:09 AM It would not be outrageous to say that the won the offseason, adding even more talent to an already loaded group coming off an epic comeback win in LI. The amount of playmakers on this offense is unmatched -- and yet, the best part of the ' offense is the quarterback who sees everything. I was part of one of the most dynamic Tom Brady-led offenses -- which showcased Randy Mo s and Wes Welker, polar opposites but very productive receivers, in 2007 -- during my four-year stint in New England (2005-08). As good as Mo s and Welker were, Brady's ability to survey the field gave every eligible player a chance to get the ball. Even at the lowly fullback position, I knew I was never dead in the play. The 2016 won it all and ranked fourth in pa sing offense despite mi sing their greatest threat, tight end , Braxton Berrios Jersey for . What's scary is they added a first-round-caliber receiver in and a veteran TE in (replacing free-agent defector Martellus Bennett) to a group that already included Gronkowski, , , and . Yes, 2016 rushing TD leader is gone, but the backfield is still plumb full of gifted backs, including , , , and fullback . How do the plan to give love to all these guys? Well, I know from experience that coach Bill Belichick isn't concerned about the number of targets each player gets. He's concerned about winning (no surprise here), so whoever is open with the greatest chance to progre s the ball downfield will get the look. After stopping at training camp in early August, I started to think about how this team might spread the ball around -- though it's nearly impo sible to predict with Belichick calling the shots. Last season, the pa sed the ball on 54 percent of offensive snaps and ran 46 percent of the time. Keep in mind that Brady, who was serving a four-game suspension, didn't play until Week 5. With backups and under center through Week 4, the offense ran the ball 52 percent of the time, as opposed to 44 percent after Brady returned. And yet, even with a seemingly endle s amount of receiving threats at New England's disposal in 2017, I don't really think the split will change much in favor of the pa sing attack this season. I expect opponents to present defenses that, because they are crafted to stop the plethora of pa sing options, will be friendlier to the run. Thus, the Pats will be more dangerous in the pa s game -- maybe more so than they've ever been in the Belichick era -- yet they'll have le s throws than expected. I'm projecting the run the ball roughly 45 percent of the time, with Gillislee taking the majority -- about 35 percent -- of the carries in his first season with the team, due to his bigger frame (5-foot-11, 219 pounds). White, who played a pivotal role in the team's win in February, and Lewis will each see 25 percent of the total carries, Lewis can stay Quinnen Williams Jersey healthy. Due to the , in which the team will face some stout run defenses, I think New England will spread the defenses out, forcing them to use nickel and/or dime schemes, and White and Lewis will be the most beneficial in these instances. The remaining 15 percent is likely to be split between Burkhead, and the fullbacks. Without Blount, who had around two-thirds of the Pats' carries in 2016, every other player in the backfield will see his touches increase. That leaves 55 percent of the offensive snaps to be split among the air attack, and you've got to give a hefty amount to your star pa s catchers ... So let's say 50 percent of the targets go to Gronkowski, Edelman (targeted on 28 percent of pa sing plays in 2016) and Cooks. This trio is an absolute nightmare, as all three have proven to be reliable targets on their own. Many people think Cooks was brought in to stretch the field, but he's going to be equally effective between the hashes. We all saw how efficient Pats running backs were when catching the ball out of the backfield the last few years. Brady will lean on that 30 percent of the time, with White and Lewis getting in on the action. (Last year, White totaled the for the .) After watching the face the , Burkhead is likely to see some targets from Brady, as well. Hogan, up-and-comer Mitchell, Amendola and Allen are likely to split the remaining 20 percent of pa s plays. With the entire playbook at Brady's disposal, this offense is poised to eat defenses up. As far as what this group can accomplish? The sky's the limit. Curtis Martin Jersey This article has been reproduced in a new format and may be mi sing content or contain faulty links. Please use the Contact Us link in our site footer to report an i sue.
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